GENERALS RETHINK THE FUTURE
Thanks to Colonel John Strand (ret) for this insight on the change the army is exploring not projecting. It's a shame more reporters aren't schooled enough to report on this level of system thinking and ethical/moral insught. Your army is looking ahead without the Military Industrial complex in the audience.
Personal insight .... the socio structure implied in most of these questions should be an eye opener for people who have a cookie cutter stereotype of tutonic military minds.
A General Covers An Army War Game
By Lt. Gen. David Barno, U.S. Army (ret.), Best Defense chief Army correspondent
The annual "Unified Quest" futures war game held recently at the Army
War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, was pretty impressive -- and
also a refreshing change from my many previous forays.
Led by the human energizer Brigadier "HR" McMaster, this forum kicked
off as a Very-Different-from-the-Big-Army event by enforcing a "NO
POWERPOINT" rule. (OK, they showed about five slides over four-plus
days.) Army insiders recognize how fundamentally heart-stopping this
notion is among any audience of generals. A four-day conversation --
scary for some, I know!
Although labeled a "war game" (and based on some scarily realistic
scenarios), this week was more of a graduate seminar for a fistful of
Army generals and senior civilians, as well as a smattering of U.S.
allies and partners. 4-star TRADOC Commander Marty Dempsey chaired all
four days-- a huge commitment that I've never seen made by his
predecessors in earlier years.
A "powerpoint-free" setting actually encouraged a free-wheeling
conversation all around the room -- light colonels and civilians
challenging three-and four-star generals in surprisingly frank
discussions. And on the couple of occasions they flipped up a slide,
all conversation rapidly shut down -- quite telling. The atmospherics
were surprisingly relaxed and open -- and everyone seemed feisty and
ready to jump into any conversation -- another good sign.
The conference "deliverable" was both to spin up an Army "Operating
Concept" to round out its recent overarching "Capstone Concept" and to
provide Army Chief of Staff George Casey some hard-hitting
recommendations that could be used to influence the shape of the Army
via the 2014-2019 budget years -- decisions needed by next winter. I
can't share those recommendations, but for the flavor of the
discussion, here are some highlights of the conversation, on a
not-for-attribution basis:
*"We can't see ourselves - all of us are positive illusion factories."
*"We are approaching a strategic transition for the United States"
[that is, an era of changed strategic context, when economic dominance
is no longer assured, and budgetary realities will force choices]. "We
are no longer going to be operating from a position of strategic
superiority."
*"Over-burdened terms" have proliferated and add confusion to our
efforts -- "what does C4ISR really mean? Does anyone really know?"
*"Beware Heroic Assumptions in the Next World" -- not all wars will be
like Iraq and Afghanistan. What's the most demanding scenario the Army
could face?
*"Tactical excellence alone does not win wars. Strategic coherence and
operational excellence will be shaped by Army leaders."
*"Mission Command -- you are trying to balance a culture of competing
virtues." Can you build a commander-centric model founded upon
decentralized operations as the norm?
*"How to use technology to enable decentralization while building
trust and cohesion at the same time?" Can the science of command --
technology and process -- enable the art of command?
*"We've power-pointed over the problem" of the Army division and corps
headquarters echelons of commands and what their roles should be. The
Army is more than just a collection of brigades.
*"We need to think about blurring the distinctions between the
Operating Force and the Generating Force" -- it's now gotten harmful.
Gotta break down the cultural barriers between the deployed and
deploying forces and the institutional Army that prepares and educates
the force for the future
*"This is when we do our Interpretive Dance of Army organizational
structures." (Cue: Show Powerpoint Spaghetti Chart) How is the Army's
Force Management model -- "ARFORGEN" -- impacting Leader Development?
*"What has an overriding focus on Brigade Combat Teams (BCTs) done to
the Army's operational and strategic leadership skills?" What are the
second and third order effects of "modularity" -- centering so much of
the Army organization around the BCT?
*Allies: Lots of concern as well as admiration. "Is the U.S. Army of
the future going to be designed and built to work with allies?"
"Design us in!" "The U.S. Army goes down an amazing variety of
multiple rabbit holes -- we just want to see where you come up!"
*"How are we defining -- and teaching -- Risk?" How to inculcate a
culture of initiative and risk-taking -- not risk aversion? What is
the message to young leaders of the recent investigations into tough
combat actions?
*"Are we thinking enough about lethality? We're four days into this
and the term has not come up!" How does the Army look at its future
role in delivering lethal effects?
*And finally -- "What is the proper role of the Army in civil society?
What's the proper role of the Army officer in the republic?" Do we
teach the meaning of a commission, explain the constitutional
foundations of officership, and establish expectations for an
apolitical officer corps? And do we reinforce this understanding
throughout an officers' career?
Most encouraging in the week's efforts was the obvious commitment of
this part of the Army -- the TRADOC leadership -- to thinking about
the big issues facing the Army beyond today's fights. First and
foremost was an understanding of the critical importance of the human
dimension in war. Dempsey and McMaster's red-hot focus on leader
development, decentralized mission command, and a clear recognition of
the unpredictability of future conflict gave me confidence. Most
importantly, they understood that Job One for Army leaders in the
coming lean years is: "Don't Lose this Generation!" Keeping the Army's
uniquely talented young leaders on board is the only reliable
insurance policy against an unknown future.
This group -- Dempsey and McMaster foremost -- "gets it." The
challenge will be whether they can "sell it" to the rest of the Army
in the midst of two grinding wars -- and who may well not see it the
same way quite yet.
Jim Channon
SPEAKER CONSULTANT
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